The Sweep: Warning Signs for the GOP’s Senate Hopes
Plus: It’s 2015 all over again.
The Big Sort, Continued
Axios has a fascinating survey out this week about which states Americans are considering moving to and why. Not surprisingly in our current culture, a lot of Americans are factoring some amount of partisanship into that decision. Here are some of their findings:
• Republicans were more likely to consider moving to red states (51 percent) than blue states (20%) or swing states (28%).
• Democrats were more likely to consider moving to blue states (48%) than red states (25%) or swing states (27%).
• More than half of Republicans (58%) and Democrats (55%) said they thought about moving to a state where the government better reflects their political and policy values, while 69% of Democrats and 65% of Republicans considered moving to a state that's a closer match with their cultural and social values.
Of course, sitting in Connecticut dreaming of Florida isn’t the same thing as actually packing your bags—but some of these people will move over the next few years and the effect on our politics will almost certainly be more polarization and fewer competitive races. It will no doubt increase the temperature of debates around the Electoral College. And this type of sorting can’t be fixed by creating nonpartisan redistricting boards, because it’s Americans gerrymandering themselves.