The Sweep: Reading Between the Lines on Voter Registration
The numbers are helpful for political scientists to study voter trends over decades. For political operatives? Not so much.
You’ve Got to be Kidding Me
Medium Buying @MediumBuyingThe DCCC is placing new TV ad spending in the Grand Rapids-Kalamazoo-Battle Creek, Mich. DMA. Start date is tomorrow, 7/26
About That Education Gap
Race, gender … and now religion. Non-college educated minorities and women have been reliably shifting right, and we are seeing the same trend among Evangelical voters. What’s fascinating is that this isn’t an American phenomenon. It’s a Western democracy phenomenon, at least. Is it the rise of college graduates from a tiny minority to a sizable chunk of those populations? If so, why didn’t we see something similar around high school education between the Civil War and WWII when graduation rates soared from 1 percent to 78 percent? Is it something about the uneven impact of the 2008 recession? But why would education be a better predictor than income?
Let’s look at the shift among Evangelicals:
Small Dollar Problems
Axios reported that “Democrats across the 10 most competitive Senate races are out-raising Republicans by more than $75 million among small-dollar donors — those giving less than $200 — according to an Axios analysis of Federal Election Commission records.”